Kamis, 22 November 2012

[K473.Ebook] Free Ebook Les 7 Habitudes des ados, by Sean Covey

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Les 7 Habitudes des ados, by Sean Covey

  • Sales Rank: #5297639 in Books
  • Published on: 1999-08-25
  • Original language: French
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 5.75" h x .75" w x 8.86" l,
  • Binding: Paperback

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[I544.Ebook] Free PDF Dirty Rotten Strategies: How We Trick Ourselves and Others into Solving the Wrong Problems Precisely (High Reliability and Crisis Managemen

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Dirty Rotten Strategies: How We Trick Ourselves and Others into Solving the Wrong Problems Precisely (High Reliability and Crisis Managemen

People and organizations are perfectly capable of making the most outrageous missteps. But, how does a person, organization, or society know that it is committing an error? And, how can we tell that when others are steering us down wrong paths?

Dirty Rotten Strategies delves into how organizations and interest groups lure us into solving the "wrong problems" with intricate, but inaccurate, solutions. Authors Ian I. Mitroff and Abraham Silvers argue that we can never be sure if we have set our sights on the wrong problem, but there are definite signals that can alert us to this possibility.

While explaining how to detect and avoid dirty rotten strategies, the authors put the media, healthcare, national security, academia, and organized religion under the microscope. They offer a biting critique that examines the failure of these major institutions to accurately define our most pressing problems. For example, the U.S. healthcare industry strives to be the most technologically advanced in the world, but, our cutting-edge system does not ensure top-quality care to the largest number of people.

Readers will find that far too many institutions have enormous incentives to let us devise elaborate solutions to the wrong problems. As Thomas Pynchon said," If they can get you asking the wrong questions, then they don't have to worry about the answers."

From a political perspective, this book shows why liberals and conservatives define problems differently, and demonstrates how each political view is incomplete without the other. Our concerns are no longer solely liberal or conservative. In fact, we can no longer trust a single group to define issues across the institutions explored in this book and beyond.

Dirty Rotten Strategies is a bipartisan call for anyone who is ready to think outside the box to address our major concerns as a society—starting today.

  • Sales Rank: #1052519 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Stanford Business Books
  • Published on: 2009-10-21
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .80" w x 6.00" l, 1.03 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 232 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

From Publishers Weekly
Starred Review. A pleasant surprise for anyone frustrated with the way complex problems are misconstrued and dumbed-down in daily life, this challenge from business scholars Mitroff and Silvers goes out to media, higher education, health care, and American institutions ranging from government to celebrity, to demonstrate the relevance of concepts in statistical analysis known as "type three" and "type four" errors. Though they're given to philosophical ranting, the authors never struggle with their complex ideas, keeping the text readable for anyone with problems to solve, resolve, absolve or dissolve (i.e., everyone). Those familiar with statistics will find their frustrations with the false type-one/type-two error dichotomy well articulated and addressed, but the theories will connect with anyone who enjoys thinking outside the box. The pair also advocates a new way of considering problems, not just a way of prioritizing them, demonstrating the necessity of new modes of critical thinking when approaching the orthodoxy of American institutions.

Review
"Ian Mitroff has done it again; He and Abraham Silvers have opened our eyes. Here's a lucid and thoughtful account of why we fail to be adequately lucid and thoughtful—and what we can do about it. Bravo!"
—Robert B. Reich, Professor of Public Policy, University of California at Berkeley, former U.S. Secretary of Labor, and author of Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Deomcracy, and Everyday Life

"A bracingly powerful book, which should be required reading for all professionals and experts of every stripe. It will liberate all readers from the tyranny of conventional reasoning. The authors give new meaning to Veblen's classic phrase, "trained incompetence." —-Warren Bennis, University Professor, University of Southern California and co-author of Transparency and Judgment

"Dirty Rotten Strategies is insightful, provocative, and important." —-Karen Armstrong, Best-selling author of The Spiral Staircase

"Ian Mitroff and Abraham Silvers nail one of the most pressing challenges of our time. In a deeper way, they show how we can get so distracted by our assessment of a problem that—no matter how well-executed the solution—it can be a complete waste of time, often making the problem much worse! The "War on Drugs" comes to mind as an example[]This book is a wake-up call for problem solvers."
—John Renesch, futurist and author of Getting to the Better Future: A Matter of Conscious Choosing


"Mitroff and Silvers suggest that our current challenges are 'wicked problems' that can only be managed by mixing conventional and highly unconventional ways of looking at the world. Incisive and original, Dirty Rotten Strategies demonstrates just how valuable systematic thinking can be in helping America to clean up all of its 'messes.'" —Morley Winograd, Executive Director of the Institute for Communication Technology Management, USC Marshall School of Business and co-author of Millennial Makeover
"Ian Mitroff and Abraham Silvers have written one of the definitive books on the tragedy of well-considered, well-meaning and well-researched error. The great merit of their non-technical, powerful book is the clarity with which they demonstrate that many of the most disastrous decisions are made by brilliantly solving wrongly defined problems. Using a prodigious range of examples from politics, health care, organizational disasters, and national security, they show how cognitive and emotional factors conspire to produce what they term the 'Type Four Error,' in which we mislead not only ourselves but others to act and think in ways directly opposed to generally agreed objectives and values. The book's main contribution is to train us to question the ways we define problems, and to help us avoid some of the errors that we all too easily lapse into. It will be of great value to all those who are perplexed by human ability to repeat mistakes in any field of action and thought."
—Yiannis Gabriel, The School of Management, Royal Holloway University of London, author of Organizing Words: A Critical Thesaurus for Social and Organization Studies

About the Author
Ian I. Mitroff is an Emeritus Professor from the University of Southern California, where he taught for 26 years. He is currently the President of Comprehensive Crisis Management, a consulting firm which offers an integrated approach to Crisis Management. Mitroff is also the author of several well-received books, including Crisis Leadership (2003) and Why Some Companies Emerge Stronger and Better From a Crisis (2005). Abraham Silvers was Associate Professor of Statistics at Baylor College of Medicine and Adjunct Professor of Statistics at the University of California at San Francisco Medical School. Having written over 100 papers and book chapters, Silvers was elected a Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA) in 1988 for his contributions to clinical trial methodology. In 1993 he received the distinguished medal in environmental statistics from the ASA. He currently provides environmental statistical consulting and support in the design, database management and analysis of health studies and clinical trials.

Most helpful customer reviews

11 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Project managers need to read this book.
By Lon Roberts - Author "SPC for Right-Brain Thinkers"
Regardless of your political leanings, this is a must-read book for anyone who cares about clear-headed thinking and the ploys that are used to trick us into solving the wrong problems. When "solving the wrong problem" is done unintentionally, the authors refer to this as a Type III error; when it is intentional, they refer to this as a Type IV error.

In essence the book is about qualitative analysis involving high-stakes situations, though the authors don't refer to it as such. It speaks to the logic that is involved (or should be involved) in properly framing and characterizing complex societal problems ... long before the statistician starts crunching numbers. I highly recommend the book to policy makers, decision makers, aspiring statisticians, or anyone, for that matter, who wants to recognize when and how they are being manipulated by politicians, the media, advertisers, think tanks, SIGs, etc. Also, as one who instructs and consults project managers, I believe PMs would benefit from recognizing that many of the requirements-related problems they encounter are essentially Type III errors.

But make no mistake, the authors go after some sacred cows: politics (especially right-of-center politics), the health insurance industry, religion, science, and education. So, you may need to check your sensitivities at the door if you wish to read the book with an open mind.

12 of 15 people found the following review helpful.
Two Books and One is Terrific
By Laurence J. Stybel
These are two powerhouse authors: Mitroff is one of the great figures of 20th Century organization behavior. He is Visiting Professor at the University of California at Berkeley. Abraham Silvers was Associate Professor of Statistics at the Baylor College of Medicine and now provides environmental statistical consulting services.
An interdisciplinary perspective pervades in this book.
If you purchase this book, be aware you are really buying two books. And the title gives away the problem as you will see in this review.
One book is superb.
The superb book is called HOW WE TRICK OURSELVES AND OTHERS INTO SOLVING THE WRONG PROBLEMS PRECISELY. The authors make the case that statistics only looks at Type 1 and Type 2 Errors. Type 1 Errors mean that the decision makers conclude that there is a meaningful difference when there is not. In other words, affirmatively getting the wrong answer. Type 2 Errors mean that decision makers conclude there is not a meaningful difference when there is. In other words, a failure to get it right.
Any leader will have at least an hour worth of Type 1 and Type 2 horror stories. We have all been victims. And we have all been perpetuators.
The authors then introduce a Type 3 Error: precisely solving the wrong problem.
This is a helpful perspective and a valuable one for Boards when they review strategy submitted by the CEO. Instead of asking, "Will it work?"Why not start with "are we looking at the right problem in the first place?"
Because Type 3 errors are part of the human condition, organizations can set up checks and balances to deal with it. For example, at the Board Level, meaningful Board of Director Self Evaluation does help the Board be aware of when its own group dynamics might cause it to logically and correctly solve the wrong problem.
We are all imperfect creatures and are prone to Type 3 Errors.
Ah, but then there is that second book.
It begins with the discussion of Type Four Errors: deliberate manipulation of data to cause leaders to solve the wrong problem precisely. They say it is due to "self-righteousness, overzealousness, malice, and narrow ideology." In other words, dirty rotten scoundrels contribute to DIRTY ROTTEN STRATEGIES.
This second book clearly is driven by the authors' own ideology and lack of historical perspective. They are out of their league. There is nothing new in Type 4 errors except the commonsense notion that people do manipulate information to suit their advantage. Is that news?
This second book has vitriol but lacks depth or practical solutions.
I want to emphasize that the first book is admirable. Too bad you can't buy one without getting the other.

##

Larry Stybel.
Boardoptions.com

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
mediocre analysis fascinating topic
By mikemac9
This book addresses a fascinating topic of how it is, both as individuals and societies, that we go off solving the wrong problem or solving problems incorrectly. It is clear from the broad range of examples they give that they have put considerable effort into studying the issue and reaching their conclusions.

However reading thru it I found the writing stiff and tedious. Moreover they seem to take polemic stands that seem unwarranted. I stopped reading the book when I got to the following: "The inside of shopping malls is so carefully controlled and staged that it looks and feels like outside, and such outside places as theme parks, for example, look and feel like inside. As a result the concepts 'outside' and 'inside' don't mean anything anymore." At which point I decided I had better uses for my time...

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Selasa, 20 November 2012

[P114.Ebook] Ebook Free The Lost Books of Merlyn: Druid Magic from the Age of Arthur, by Douglas Monroe

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The Lost Books of Merlyn: Druid Magic from the Age of Arthur, by Douglas Monroe

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The Lost Books of Merlyn: Druid Magic from the Age of Arthur, by Douglas Monroe

If you're involved in any form of Celtic Wicca or Witchcraft, or if you just want to know more about the ancient Celtic Priests, the Druids, you need The Lost Books of Merlyn by Douglas Monroe.

But you're not the only one who wanted this book. After his first book appeared, he received over 20,000 letters asking for more! That's the purpose of this book.

The Lost Books of Merlyn is a series of writings which have come down to us as attributed through the pen of Merlyn, or ― more precisely ― as having originally been in his keeping. Merlyn (upon whom the mythical Merlin was based) was a Druid, and the Druids were the priest-priest-initiators of their people. So this book is a reconstruction of the ancient philosophy, beliefs, and methods for personal transformation you can use today.

The book is composed of three parts, each one based on old Celtic legends, in the form of a story. Why was it written that way? "Because that is the way the Druids, the Celts, would have done it ― that is the way they taught."

The three sections are "The Battle of the Trees," "The Book of Pheryllt," and "The Gorchan of Maeldrew." When these stories were originally told, the people knew the meanings of their symbolism. Not so, today. Therefore, at the end of each section is a grimoire explaining the meanings and, at the same time, sharing rituals, oracles, and magical methods.

You'll learn about tree oracles, Celtic signs of power, and the Druidic pantheon of deities. You'll discover how to contact Faery folk, the power of words, and charms of protection. Revealed, too, is how to make and use dowsing rods to find ley lines, and the secrets of magical dance and music. Also, you'll find out the secrets of the "Charm of Making" and the proof that it was ancient before it was popularized in a movie.

This just barely scratches the surface of the book. You'll find that the wisdom here will touch you and help you on your path. Read it and learn.



  • Sales Rank: #424970 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Llewellyn Publications
  • Published on: 2002-09-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 1.20" w x 6.00" l, 1.13 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 432 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Amazon.com Review
Part adventure tale and part grimoire, The Lost Books of Merlyn remains true to the Druids' method of wrapping important knowledge in a story. Monroe's tale of the British Celts, their conflict with the Romans, and the last days of King Arthur, recounts the demise of the Druids but reveals the hope of their resurrection today. Coupled with an abundance of spells, charms, and sacred rites, this is more than just a well-written fantasy, more than just a well-stocked spell book. The Lost Books of Merlyn is both teacher and course. Whether you read it as a work of fiction or dig for a deeper meaning, you will hear a voice in these pages speaking to you as Merlyn speaks to the author: "Now, at last, it is your turn to understand what has already been lived, and what may come of it." --Brian Patterson

From the Publisher
In ancient Britain, the natives followed a religion based on the Goddess of the Moon. When the ancient Druids came with the Celts to the British Isles, they brought with them solar worship of a Sun God. Rather than force their beliefs onto the people, they combined the two, becoming the Priests of this all-encompassing faith. Today, what we base on these ancient traditions is called Celtic Wicca or Witchcraft.

There are many books written by scholars about the Druids. The Lost Books of Merlyn is also written by a scholar of the ancient teachings, but with one difference: Douglas Monroe presents the information so that you can use it today, for personal transformation and growth.

There are three sections or "books" here which are derived from an ancient manuscript called "The Book of Pheryllt." He uses the ancient texts to recreate the lore and legends of the ancient Celts. But this is not just a book of stories. Within each story is the wisdom of the Druids.

When the Druids roamed the Celtic lands, people knew the meanings within their stories. Today, much of that knowledge has been forgotten. So at the end of each section Douglas includes explicit instructions you can use to transform your life. He includes oracles and protection rituals, healing herbs, and musical secrets, how to tap into the energy of the earth, your own energy and even how to work with your dreams and astral project. He also reveals the ancient ways of evocation and the secrets of plants, herbs, and the sources of the Charms of Making (popularized in a movie).

Isn't it time you went back to the source? If you're involved or interested in any form of Celtic Wicca, I think you're going to love this book.


About the Author
Douglas Monroe has been involved in practical Earth magick since his first apprenticeship at age 10. As a boy , he studied classical Magic under the guidance of Israel Regardie, and has studied and taught in the United States, in Britain, and in Argentina. He is founder of the New Forest Centre for Magickal Studies and has made many excursions to Celtic Britain to collect original materials on Druidism and Arthurian Lore. His Method of teaching - here seemingly presented as tales of magic and adventure - has many precedents in the Wisdom Teachings of the East and West, but most truly in the Druidic Tradition that he has followed, and of which he is a foremost exponent.

Most helpful customer reviews

15 of 17 people found the following review helpful.
Not for the Uninitiated
By Benjamin L. Tait
If you are interested in learning 'facts' about Merlin or Druidism, don't look here. This is more of a manual for those practiced in the arts, rather than a book of factual information that helps to solidify a belief in something or to prove another wrong. There are many deep layers to this text and one must be aware of the occult teachings (occult just means 'hidden') to comprehend its relevance. Or it may just open the mind of the one unknowingly seeking self-initiation into the mysteries. But beware, this path is trodden with wrong turns and battles of faith...

3 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
A bit disappointing...
By Tracy A. Hunter
So having read his previous book, 21 Lessons of Merlyn I was pleased to see this offered. However after reading it I found it not so pleasing. The narrative was not anywhere near as easy to follow as the first book. The way it jumped around in time I almost thought it had been written by Quentin Tarantino. As for the practical infomation...that was a bit easier to follow. I like the formula of using narative then explaining the practical aspects, and it worked very well in 21 lessons. I just think that the narrative portion missed the mark in this on. I still intend to get the third in the series, The Deep Teachings of Merlyn, at some point, but I won't be getting my hopes of it being as cohesive narratively as the first book up too high for that one.

11 of 19 people found the following review helpful.
Marginally Better Sequel
By E. M. Hodge
The follow-up companion to "The 21 Lessons of Merlyn", this book is a sincere attempt by the author to put down his personal philosophy, spiritual system and magical work. Using questionable sources, the author comes to conclusions that are highly controversial and difficult to substantiate. Much like its prequel, I recommend this book only as a work of fiction or as a way of separating the truth from the nonsense.

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  • Sales Rank: #1652722 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-09-04
  • Released on: 2013-09-04
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Jumat, 16 November 2012

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An objective, well-researched history of contemporary new religions and cults.New religious movements - popularly known as cults - arouse strong public opinion and most books on the subject are polemical, giving hostile reaction rather than informed exploration. Exploring New Religions provides an account of a wide variety of new religions, focusing on their origins, beliefs and practices, which are set out in a dispassionate way, leaving readers to form their own value judgements. George Chryssides provides important analysis of the killer cults-the Jonestown People's Temple, Waco, the Solar Temple and Heaven's Gate-examining the factors that made their followers willing to die for their cause. Older groups like the Jehovah's Witnesses and Latter-day Saints (Mormons) are discussed, and Chryssides traces the development of a variety of strands of spirituality, ranging from New Thought, Spiritualism and Theosophy. Subsequent chapters include the Baha'i, the Family (formerly Children of God), the Hare Krishna movement (ISKCON), the Jesus Army, the Rastafarians, the Church of Scientology, Transcendental Meditation (TM) and the Unification Church ('the Moonies'). Lower profile groups are also discussed including: EST (Erhard Seminar Training), the New Kadampa Tradition, Brahma Kumaris, Sai Baba, Subud and the Western Buddhist Order. A study of the New Age phenomenon, and an account of societal responses to new religions at religious, societal and political levels is also included.

  • Sales Rank: #3152812 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Continuum
  • Published on: 2001-11-12
  • Released on: 2001-11-12
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.21" h x .85" w x 6.14" l, 1.30 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 416 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Review
"General readers, sixth-formers and first-year university students might value it as a ground-clearing exercise prior to more detailed sociological or theological analyses."
Reviewed in Theology, September/October 2000


"This book will be invaluable in the study of NRM's [New Religious Movements], providing a wealth of data and description, alerting readers to significant approaches and issues. It is a valuable addition to the series Issues in Contemporary Religion and works admirably in that context."
Reviews in Religion and Theology 8.1 (February 2001)

"There is much to commend this work. On two accounts it excels. Firstly, as a text book, it is clear and methodical without being hard work or boring. It should establish itself as a leader in the field for a long time. Secondly, for evangelicals it offers a fresh and helpful balance to the excesses of the counter-culture movement. Chryssides never goes beyond the evidence, and is always careful to treat other religions with sensitivity from a position of knowledge, rather than ignorance." —Reviewed in Themelios 25.3 (June 2000)

"This volume will prove useful for introductory courses in the sociology of religion and on courses dealing with relatively new religious movements in general. It is packed with basic information on the founders and contexts of the emergence of groups and outlines basic teachings and practices of each."
Journal of Contemporary Religion, 16.1 (2001)

About the Author
George D. Chryssides is Honorary Research Fellow in Contemporary Religion at the University of Birmingham, UK.

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2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
THOSE SCARY CULTS AGAIN
By Severin Olson
Many of the prominent 'cults' or new religious movements are discussed here. Chapters cover offshoot developments from the major religions and include well known groups such as the Mormons, Jehovas Witnesses and Hare Krishna. One chapter covers the 'death cults', and the last looks at the anti-cult movement.

I very much enjoyed reading this book, and think others with similar interests will like it as well. It gives us an in depth look at the cults and is one of the few works to examine the issue in a detached, methodical way. Most books are written either to attack or defend particular groups in question. Chryssides desires only to learn about them. This is close to a five star book.

Well, almost. The author suffers from a typical academic inability to make judgements, even in the easiest cases. No group can be condemned. Of course we understand that one must be open minded to the claims and arguments of these cults, and not believe everything said about them, but matters are taken to an absurd extreme here. Time and again crimes are excused and immoral practices played down. The worst examples are found in the section on the death cult Jonestown. Chryssides goes as far as to suggest that the sect was driven to mass suicide by a hostile and racist world. What nonsense! I suppose if he was writing about the Japanese cult responsible for the underground gas attack in 1995, he would say they were only seeking to reduce subway crowding. True enough, we shouldn't be too quick to attack new religions in our midst. But they shouldn't all be let off the hook either.

5 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Objective and Informative
By S A Rivers
It would be easy for anyone embarking on a exploration into new religious movements to be swayed by the sensationalist media reporting that many of these groups have been subjected to. This book, however, deals with a host of faiths and belief systems in a subjective and unbiased way, however bizarre they appear to be. Even Jim Jones gets a fair hearing!
A great source of information for anyone interested in NRM's which wets the appetite for further study.

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Senin, 12 November 2012

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  • Sales Rank: #5096445 in Books
  • Published on: 1967
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Maternal-Fetal Medicine Evidence-Based Guidelines reviews the evidence for best practice in maternal-fetal medicine. It presents the reader with the right information, in the right format, by summarizing evidence in easy-to-use tables and algorithms.

Each guideline is designed to "make it easy to do it right", with appropriate use of proven interventions and no use of harmful interventions. Plenty of evidence is available so that well-informed clinicians can reduce errors, so that the first aim is ultimately to improve the health of mother and fetus by providing quality care.

  • Sales Rank: #1158397 in Books
  • Published on: 2011-11-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 11.25" h x 8.25" w x 1.25" l, 3.85 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 464 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
it falls apart the moment u open it with pages falling apart and flying everywhere The worst quality medical book I have ever
By RS
The information in the book is concise and to the point... Although not always accurate...
The quality of the book is an ABSOLUTE DISASTER... it falls apart the moment u open it with pages falling apart and flying everywhere
The worst quality medical book I have ever bought

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
great book
By missylee
Just got this and have already read a few chapters. Really clinically useful, gives best evidence behind our practices. Great supplement to Creasy. In some respects, I like it more than Creasy. Great for residents and fellows.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Maternal fetal medicine
By Tirun Gopal
Very good book with thought provoking articles and current trends and references. Both Generalists and MFMs will benefit from reading it

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Kamis, 08 November 2012

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Las fronteras son mentales (Spanish Edition), by Alfonso Neisa

Alfonso Neisa es un aventurero y realizador audiovisual apasionado que decidi� demostrar su teor�a (Las fronteras son mentales) atravesando Sudam�rica de punta a punta en moto y sin dinero en los bolsillos, argumenta que el dinero se convirti� en una de mas fuertes limitantes que detienen al individuo mucho antes de emprender camino hacia sus sue�os.
No conforme con atravesar de esta forma todo el continente, hace un reality para internet de su traves�a llamado "aventureros sin dinero"; dejando en 58 cap�tulos un registro contundente de lo realizado.
Ahora entrega al publico la s�ntesis de su teor�a en este libro "Las fronteras son mentales" apoyando el texto con espectaculares fotograf�as de su recorrido por Sudam�rica.

  • Sales Rank: #2098367 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-08-11
  • Released on: 2015-08-11
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Five Stars
By camilo
excelente libro, muy recomendado

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